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Table 9 Reclassification table for risk of CVD incidence between the model with age at quitting, time since quitting and pack-years incorporated into smoking status (Model 4) and a reduced model without age at quitting (Model 3) as the reference model

From: Age at quitting smoking as a predictor of risk of cardiovascular disease incidence independent of smoking status, time since quitting and pack-years

Model 3

Model 4

 

Frequency (Row per cent)

< 6%

6- < 10%

10- < 20%

> = 20%

Total

Participants who experience a CVD Event

     

<6%

164

13

0

0

177

6- < 10%

10

56

12

0

78

10- < 20%

1

5

57

8

71

> = 20%

1

0

8

48

57

Total

176

74

77

56

383

Net gain in reclassification proportion (p-value)

0.0208(0.2935)

 

Participants who do not experience a CVD Event

     

<6%

1402

85

0

0

1487

6- < 10%

83

742

64

0

889

10- < 20%

25

84

596

44

749

> = 20%

10

2

18

213

243

Total

1520

913

678

257

3368

Net gain in reclassification proportion (p-value)

0.0086(0.1545)

 

NRI (p-value)

0.0294(0.1558)

 

Overall net gain in reclassification proportion with respect to risk category > = 20%(p-value)

0.0015(0.8888)

 

Overall gross gain in reclassification proportion with respect to risk category > = 20%(p-value)

0.0339(<0.0001)

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