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Table 2 Estimates of fitting parameters and the effective reproduction number for the second wave of the 2009 pandemic in different health regions in the province of Manitoba

From: Variability in transmissibility of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Canadian communities

 

Parameters

Health Region

r (95% CI)

K (CRC)*

t m

R e (95% CI)

Brandon

0.2064 (0.1664-0.2787)

97 (98)

Nov 11

1.74 (1.57-2.07)

Central

0.1826 (0.1644-0.2067)

271 (270)

Nov 9

1.63 (1.56-1.74)

Assiniboine

0.1459 (0.1378-0.1553)

201 (202)

Nov 12

1.49 (1.46-1.52)

Interlake

0.1698 (0.1469-0.2049)

149 (148)

Nov 12

1.58 (1.49-1.73)

Winnipeg

0.2470 (0.2127-0.2973)

702(706)

Nov 7

1.92 (1.76-2.17)

Manitoba

0.1899 (0.1731-0.2113)

1764 (1774)

Nov 9

1.67 (1.60-1.76)

  1. *CRC cumulative reported cases. Estimates correspond to the best fit of the Richards model to the cumulative number of confirmed cases. 95% confidence interval for R e corresponds to the average generation time of 2.9 days.