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Table 1 Model parameters, reference values and results of the local sensitivity analysis for a reintroduced wild dog population (initial condition: number of packs = 4; probability for a disperser group to leave release area = 0.4)

From: Establishment probability in newly founded populations

Parameter

Reference value

Sensitivity

  

+10% of parameter value

–10%of parameter value

Reproduction in newly formed packs (p)

0.33

2.07

–0.22

Reproduction in established packs (p)

0.66

7.62

–4.24

Pack size (v)

8.1 ± 1.1

0.20

–0.37

Litter size (v)

7.9 ± 0.8

3.63

–3.16

Primary sex ratio (p)

0.55 ± 0.06

–0.62

2.11

Ecological capacity (v)

62

1.76

–0.16

Density dependence threshold (v)

31*

3.23

–2.82

Dispersal in males (p)

0.80*

–0.96

1.52

Dispersal in females (p)

0.90*

–1.08

2.48

Disperser group size threshold (v)

2*

0.27

–0.14

Pack formation (p)

0.64

0.50

–0.12

Dominant displacement (p)

0.20

0.46

–0.12

Mortality in male pups (p)

0.07 ± 0.06

–0.53

0.96

Mortality in female pups (p)

0.16 ± 0.14

–0.37

0.34

Mortality in yearling males (p)

0.29 ± 0.14

–0.53

1.67

Mortality in yearling females (p)

0.20 ± 0.20

–0.46

0.00

Mortality in young adult males (p)

0.17 ± 0.08

–1.39

1.83

Mortality in young adult females (p)

0.01 ± 0.01

–0.90

1.30

Mortality in old adult males (p)

0.30 ± 0.16

–0.19

2.23

Mortality in old adult females (p)

0.22 ± 0.16

–0.56

0.80

Dispersal mortality in males (p)

0.45

–1.67

1.61

Dispersal mortality in females (p)

0.43

–1.42

1.33

Longevity (v)

9

1.73

–2.12

Catastrophe occurrence (p)

0.04

–0.84

1.05

Catastrophe severity (p)

0.42

–1.89

3.28

  1. p = probability, v = absolute value. Reference values from [6] or calibrated to match an observed pattern in the population modelled here (indicated by *, see [4]). Measures of precision could not be assigned to values that represent proportions. Sensitivity = ratio of the relative change in Tm to the relative change in parameter value.