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Table 2 Model parameter values

From: Early vaccine availability represents an important public health advance for the control of pandemic influenza

Variable

Age group(s)

Value

Source

Total population size

All

33,739,859

[47]

Proportion of the population with pre-existing immunity

53 years +

0%

[48]

Mild pandemic scenario

Latent period (days)

All

3.5 days

[16, 27]

Duration of Infectiousness (days)

All

2.5 days

Reproductive Number

All

1.3

Severe Pandemic Scenario

Latent period (days)

All

1.9 days

[28, 49]

Duration of infectiousness (days)

All

4.1 days

[28, 49]

Reproductive number

All

2.0

[28]

Vaccine scenarios

Vaccine effectiveness (traditional influenza vaccine)

<65 years

0.7

[50]

 

≥65 years

0.3

Vaccine effectiveness (plant-based pandemic influenza vaccine)

<65 years

0.7

Assumption

 

≥65 years

0.3

Proportion of the population with high-risk conditions

0–4 years

0.10

[21, 25]

5–13 years

0.10

14–17 years

0.12

18–22 years

0.11

23–52 years

0.13

53–64 years

0.27

≥65 years

0.43

Proportion of the population vaccinated

0–4 years

0.26

[25, 26]

5–13 years

0.30

14–17 years

0.31

18–22 years

0.29

23–52 years

0.29

52–64 years

0.47

≥65 years

0.75

Percentage of clinically ill individuals who are hospitalized and recover

All

1%

[7]

Hospitalized cases that die

All

0.4%

[7]