Variable | Age group(s) | Value | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Total population size | All | 33,739,859 | [47] |
Proportion of the population with pre-existing immunity | 53 years + | 0% | [48] |
Mild pandemic scenario | |||
Latent period (days) | All | 3.5 days | |
Duration of Infectiousness (days) | All | 2.5 days | |
Reproductive Number | All | 1.3 | |
Severe Pandemic Scenario | |||
Latent period (days) | All | 1.9 days | |
Duration of infectiousness (days) | All | 4.1 days | |
Reproductive number | All | 2.0 | [28] |
Vaccine scenarios | |||
Vaccine effectiveness (traditional influenza vaccine) | <65 years | 0.7 | [50] |
≥65 years | 0.3 | ||
Vaccine effectiveness (plant-based pandemic influenza vaccine) | <65 years | 0.7 | Assumption |
≥65 years | 0.3 | ||
Proportion of the population with high-risk conditions | 0–4 years | 0.10 | |
5–13 years | 0.10 | ||
14–17 years | 0.12 | ||
18–22 years | 0.11 | ||
23–52 years | 0.13 | ||
53–64 years | 0.27 | ||
≥65 years | 0.43 | ||
Proportion of the population vaccinated | 0–4 years | 0.26 | |
5–13 years | 0.30 | ||
14–17 years | 0.31 | ||
18–22 years | 0.29 | ||
23–52 years | 0.29 | ||
52–64 years | 0.47 | ||
≥65 years | 0.75 | ||
Percentage of clinically ill individuals who are hospitalized and recover | All | 1% | [7] |
Hospitalized cases that die | All | 0.4% | [7] |