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Table 2 Environmental impact and certainty (Macro environment-PESTLE analysis)

From: A comprehensive environmental scanning and strategic analysis of Iranian Public Hospitals: a prospective approach

Aspects

Factors

Influence

Certainty

Political

Regional competitions

− 1

− 3

Policy makers’ neglect of the health sector

− 4

− 3

Centralization in the dominant attitude

− 4

− 5

Government budget-cutting structure

− 5

− 5

Implementation of the Family Physician Program

+ 2

+ 3

Periodic changes of politicians leading to change of plans of directors (political instability)

− 3

− 5

Lack of appropriate philosophy and viewpoint about health and its various dimensions among political parties and formations

− 3

− 4

Government downsizing based on various laws, including the 44th principle (privatization development)

+ 4

+ 3

Government financial corruption

− 4

− 4

Unreasonable tariffs determined for hospitals products and services

− 5

− 5

Political sanctions

− 4

− 5

Economic

Improved payment system structure (strategic services purchase by insurance companies based on quality and price)

+ 5

+ 3

Improved tariff structures

+ 4

+ 2

Improved drugs and consumption products purchase control structure

+ 5

+ 3

Higher inflation in the health sector

− 5

− 5

Higher expenses (drugs and treatment)

− 5

− 5

Higher inflation

− 4

− 5

Higher bank interest rates

− 4

− 4

Improved financing structure

+ 5

+ 3

Currency rate fluctuations and multiplicity of currency rates

− 4

− 5

Supportive role of government financial policies

+ 5

+ 2

Providing access to capital/loans to develop hospitals’ activities by the government

+ 4

+ 4

Good market economic growth

+ 3

+ 1

Availability of required finances (from public government budget, charities, etc.) to produce hospitals products and services

+ 5

+ 2

Smaller budget share for the health sector

− 5

− 5

Approved national Iranian pharmacopoeia and the comprehensive list of equipment

+ 3

+ 3

More budget limitations for the health sector as a result of economic and health load of non-communicable and emerging diseases because of environmental changes

− 3

− 3

Economic sanctions

− 3

− 5

Social and cultural

Higher population growth

− 3

− 5

Higher fertility rates

− 3

− 4

Change of diseases load towards chronic illnesses

− 5

− 5

Lower physical activity

− 3

− 4

Higher life expectancy

− 3

− 4

Higher poverty

− 4

− 5

Appropriate population distribution (young human resources to total population ratio)

+ 2

+ 4

Appropriate family size and structure

+ 2

+ 3

Higher rates of social harms and anomalies, including divorce, crimes, and violence.

− 3

− 4

Technology

Improved health information technology (home care, remote medical services, remote training, electronic medical record)

+ 4

+ 2

Legal

Lack of legal clarity for hospitals activities development

− 4

− 4

Tax and employment laws ratified by the government

− 4

− 4

Inappropriate budgeting system for hospitals (general budget, linear budget, ownership of the remaining budget resulting from frugality)

− 5

− 4

Deficiency in health technologies evaluation (import permits for high-end technologies and expensive drugs)

− 4

− 5

Poor supportive laws for attracting domestic and international investors in manufacture, equipment, and renovation of hospitals (including bank laws, facilities, loans, letters of guarantee)

− 3

− 5

The requirement for hospitals to observe scientific and local guidelines approved by the Ministry of Health and insurance companies

+ 5

+ 2

Environmental

Higher risks and diseases resulting from environment pollution

− 3

− 4

Higher air pollution in cities in which the hospitals are located

− 4

− 5

The possibility of unexpected events in the city where the hospitals are located

− 4

− 3

Greater possibility of man-made disasters in the city where the hospitals are located

− 3

− 3

Population positive attitude toward green energy

+ 3

+ 3

Population positive attitude toward green and organic products

+ 3

+ 3